Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 376.746307 428.801007 487.025012 557.270574 640.110703 735.168503 853.178684
2025-08-10 292.900332 358.544015 438.799546 545.273978 684.532222 862.878157 1112.499663
2025-08-17 257.194407 330.862714 426.644339 562.597623 754.409162 1021.309632 1431.685625
2025-08-24 226.616180 302.756461 406.549123 561.897808 794.816186 1141.801487 1719.508246
2025-08-31 201.129668 277.082069 384.708573 553.065900 818.838194 1238.835968 1989.249578
2025-09-07 184.050390 260.640496 373.042111 556.138609 859.406373 1366.285490 2336.252755
2025-09-14 166.413858 241.099767 353.951555 544.166969 872.437376 1448.497921 2620.117148
2025-09-21 153.602003 227.343202 341.873043 541.301459 899.390605 1558.509113 2983.286901
2025-09-28 138.353607 208.231445 319.136316 517.315378 884.692034 1587.754322 3186.428567
2025-10-05 133.247347 204.727760 321.260024 536.345841 951.480116 1786.637473 3815.661039
2025-10-12 129.555851 203.094991 326.172363 560.731309 1032.128175 2029.955636 4627.128072
2025-10-19 122.776315 195.626135 320.184628 563.901218 1070.458511 2189.766787 5281.493567
2025-10-26 113.528882 183.335708 304.822404 547.810298 1067.372451 2258.266430 5722.002567
2025-11-02 105.821380 173.154676 292.397410 536.154883 1072.363759 2347.884341 6260.404099
2025-11-09 102.688856 170.804808 294.089481 553.126736 1143.894253 2618.076874 7467.627889
2025-11-16 97.601366 164.492929 287.706686 552.441137 1174.376592 2789.438072 8428.164105
2025-11-23 92.035104 156.877102 278.139855 543.787950 1184.308781 2907.489430 9255.961039
2025-11-30 88.260083 152.320910 274.137718 546.798546 1223.607644 3118.667064 10546.367019
2025-12-07 83.225990 145.023506 264.073121 535.068510 1223.365997 3213.152644 11415.238653
2025-12-14 79.499676 139.990188 258.185928 532.260670 1246.282212 3385.472404 12723.582321
2025-12-21 74.045900 131.258325 244.063360 508.754857 1209.710713 3359.110242 13103.833307
2025-12-28 72.926718 130.979198 247.498225 527.404640 1293.305714 3754.734116 15818.748904
2026-01-04 72.275131 131.575421 252.816094 551.298276 1396.713719 4253.809869 19510.325848